← AGORA HOBBY AMB Store Championship
Fire ExiaTier 2
at AGORA HOBBY AMB Store Championship
decks
3
(4.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
4-9-1
overall winrate
32.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.2%
avg ELO -2.8 per match
expected value
45.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1225
· median 1190
· range 1154–1332
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1057
Q1 1178
Q3 1392
1633
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 17.3% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.7% | +2.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.3% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.8% | +3.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.8% | -8.3 |
| Water Tera Mage | 9.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.9% | -11.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Jin | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 1.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.6% | -16.7 |
| Wind Silvie | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
